SmugDeg

What SmugCalls is

SmugCalls is a bot built by SmugDeg. It watches pump.fun trades on Solana for smart-money convergence and posts a call to t.me/SmugCalls when its filters fire. Since 30 June 2026 it has posted 11,384 calls; 35.6% reached 2x, 4.7% reached 10x, and the median call peaked at 1.58x.

Nothing is removed afterwards. Every call sits in one public file with its timestamp, token address, entry market cap and peak multiple, and the file's SHA-256 is stamped into the Bitcoin blockchain through OpenTimestamps. A deleted or back-dated call would break the hash — that is the only reason to believe the hit rate above.

Peak means the highest market cap reached after the call, never an exit price. Six calls in ten never double. Both facts are on the home page, in large type.

Where to find SmugDeg

Published work

• The call record — 11,384 calls with entry cap and peak multiple, CC0, misses included.
• How many pump.fun launches actually graduate? — 825,123 launches measured over 30 days, every denominator spelled out.
• pump.fun graduation rate, week by week — live tracker from the same feed, updated daily.
• Questions, answered with numbers — graduation, timing and hit rates with their denominators.
• A signal that passed out-of-sample testing and was still garbage — how a hold-out split hid a leak.
• A dead lending market doubles every month — $23bn of a protocol's reported borrowing is compound interest nobody will repay.
• The daily data feed — cleaned calls with verified peaks, for people who want the stream rather than the archive.

Rules of the record

• Every call is published with a Telegram timestamp from before the chart moved.
• No call is edited or removed. Losers stay up, in the same type as winners.
• Peaks are measured after the call from on-chain and market data, and re-checked against later market history by the same automated process — never edited by hand.
• Nothing on this site is financial advice. It is a log of what a bot posted and what the chart did next.